Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000136 0.000152 0.000169 0.000188 0.000209 0.000233 0.000260
2025-09-07 0.000113 0.000134 0.000158 0.000187 0.000222 0.000262 0.000311
2025-09-14 0.000096 0.000120 0.000148 0.000185 0.000231 0.000287 0.000359
2025-09-21 0.000085 0.000111 0.000143 0.000187 0.000245 0.000318 0.000417
2025-09-28 0.000075 0.000103 0.000138 0.000188 0.000256 0.000346 0.000474
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000095 0.000132 0.000187 0.000264 0.000370 0.000526
2025-10-12 0.000062 0.000091 0.000131 0.000191 0.000279 0.000404 0.000595
2025-10-19 0.000057 0.000086 0.000127 0.000191 0.000288 0.000430 0.000654
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000081 0.000123 0.000191 0.000297 0.000455 0.000714
2025-11-02 0.000048 0.000076 0.000119 0.000189 0.000302 0.000476 0.000768
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000073 0.000117 0.000191 0.000312 0.000505 0.000836
2025-11-16 0.000041 0.000068 0.000112 0.000188 0.000315 0.000522 0.000887
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.000065 0.000109 0.000187 0.000322 0.000546 0.000952
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000062 0.000106 0.000187 0.000330 0.000574 0.001026
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000058 0.000103 0.000185 0.000335 0.000596 0.001092
2025-12-14 0.000031 0.000056 0.000102 0.000188 0.000347 0.000632 0.001186
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000054 0.000100 0.000189 0.000357 0.000664 0.001276
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000052 0.000097 0.000187 0.000362 0.000688 0.001351
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000051 0.000098 0.000192 0.000378 0.000733 0.001472
2026-01-11 0.000024 0.000049 0.000096 0.000192 0.000386 0.000765 0.001567
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000192 0.000393 0.000794 0.001661
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000190 0.000397 0.000817 0.001744
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000044 0.000090 0.000191 0.000408 0.000854 0.001858